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2024-12-14 01:13:27

Institution: In November, the average price of second-hand residential buildings in Baicheng dropped by 0.57% month-on-month. According to the 100-city price index of China's real estate index system, in November 2024, the average price of second-hand residential buildings in Baicheng fell by 0.57% month-on-month, narrowing by 0.03 percentage points from last month. It fell by 7.29% year-on-year. In November, the average price of second-hand residential buildings in the top ten cities fell by 0.17% month-on-month, which was 0.16 percentage points lower than that of the previous month. It fell by 7.16% year-on-year, and the decline was narrowed by 0.36 percentage points from the previous month. In terms of cities, the prices of second-hand houses in Shenzhen and Chengdu rose by 0.21% and 0.12% respectively. Nanjing had the largest decline from the previous month, with 0.60%; Wuhan, Hangzhou and Tianjin followed closely, with decreases of 0.43%, 0.42% and 0.31% respectively. Guangzhou, Shanghai and Beijing all experienced month-on-month declines of 0.1%-0.3%; Chongqing (the main city) has the smallest decline of 0.07%. In terms of year-on-year, Wuhan and Nanjing experienced large year-on-year declines, accounting for 10.82% and 10.24% respectively. Chongqing (the main city), Beijing, Hangzhou and Shanghai all experienced year-on-year declines of 7%-9%; The prices of second-hand houses in Tianjin, Guangzhou and Chengdu all fell by 5-7% year-on-year; Shenzhen fell by 4.42% year on year.Lian Ping, president of the Chief Industry Research Institute of Guangkai, believes that it is expected to reduce the RRR by about 100 basis points in 2025, releasing more than 3 trillion yuan of liquidity. Among them, there is limited room for reducing the deposit reserve ratio of small and medium-sized financial institutions, and the expected RRR reduction is about 50 basis points.Lian Ping, president of the Chief Industry Research Institute of Guangkai, believes that it is expected to reduce the RRR by about 100 basis points in 2025, releasing more than 3 trillion yuan of liquidity. Among them, there is limited room for reducing the deposit reserve ratio of small and medium-sized financial institutions, and the expected RRR reduction is about 50 basis points.


Hyundai Motor: Parker will continue to be the CEO of Hyundai Motor's North American business.US Treasury Department: US Treasury Secretary Yellen expressed appreciation for the close communication between the Ministry of Economic Affairs of Korea and the United States after the recent events in South Korea.New Zealand appoints WINSTON PETERS as Minister of Railways.


Galaxy Securities: The equity market rebounded, and the improved double-low strategy exceeded 9% during the year. According to china galaxy Securities, the last cycle (11.26-12.9) recorded 2.3%, 1.7% and 3.2% respectively (the benchmark for the same period was 2.7%). Since the beginning of this year, the performance of the three types of strategies has been 8.5%, 8.6% and 15.1% respectively (the benchmark for the same period is 6.6%), and the cumulative excess rate of return is 2-9%. In the last cycle, the equity market rebounded and repaired. Wandequan A rose by 4.05%, and CSI convertible bonds followed (2.68%), among which the double-low style (3.25%) rose higher, and the low-price enhancement and low-price large-market strategy slightly underperformed the benchmark, and the double-low improvement strategy continued to dominate.Guotai Junan: From policy expectation to focusing on performance, the marginal improvement of mass goods, Guotai Junan said, from policy expectation to focusing on performance, the marginal improvement of mass goods, stable drinks, marginal decline of alcohol, configuration: mass goods > beer & drinks > liquor, first grow before value, first choose snacks, certain preferred condiments, drinks and beer, and gradually lay out liquor: under low expectation, the layout is oversold and the valuation target is low, which is steady. Popular products: 1) Snacks and some condiments are preferred. 2) beer and drinks. 3) tobacco.ADB lowered the growth forecast of developing economies in the Asia-Pacific region to maintain China's economic growth forecast. On December 11th, the Asian Development Bank issued the Asia Development Outlook 2024 (December Edition). According to the report, the development momentum in the Asia-Pacific region is steady, but as US President-elect Trump is about to take office, changes in his trade, finance and immigration policies may inhibit the development of the Asia-Pacific region and aggravate inflation. ADB lowered its growth forecast for developing economies in the Asia-Pacific region from the previous 5.0% to 4.9% in 2024, and from the previous 4.9% to 4.8% in 2025. China's economic growth is expected to remain at 4.8% and 4.5% in 2024 and 2025 respectively, which is the same as before.

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